The mid-term election is almost at hand with the control of the Senate and House up for grabs. Here's a look at where things currently stand.
The House:
-------GOP HELD SEATS-------
LEANS DEMOCRAT (12)
TX-22: Open (DeLay)
AZ-8: Open (Kolbe)
FL-16: Open (Foley)
IN-8: Hostettler
PA-10: Sherwood
CO-7: Open (Beauprez)
OH-18: Open (Ney)
PA-7: Weldon
NY-24: Open (Boehlert)
IA-1: (Open (Nussle)
NC-11: Taylor
NM-1: Wilson
TOSS UPS (13)
IN-2: Chocola
OH-15: Pryce
NY-26: Reynolds
IN-9: SodrelCT-4: Shays
PA-6: Gerlach
IL-6: Open (Hyde)
MN-6: Open (Kennedy)
FL-13: Open (Harris)
CT-2: Simmons
WA-8: Reichert
CT-5: Johnson
OH-2: Schmidt
LEANS REPUBLICAN (20)
FL-22: Shaw
VA-2: Drake
OH-1: Chabot
CO-4: Musgrave
KY-4: Davis
WI-8: Open (Green)
PA-8: Fitzpatrick
NV-2: Open (Gibbons)
NY-20: Sweeney
CA-11: Pombo
NY-29: Kuhl
NY-19: Kelly
KY-3: Northup
CA-4: Doolittle
NH-2: Bass
PA-4: Hart
NV-3: Porter
NY-25: Walsh MN-1: Gutknecht
AZ-5: Hayworth
-------DEM HELD SEATS-------
LEANS DEMOCRAT (5)
IL-8: Bean
GA-12: Barrow
GA-8: Marshall
VT-AL: Open (Sanders)
IA-3: Boswell
The Senate:
TOSS UPS
MO: Talent (R) | Chart
MT: Burns (R) | Chart
VA: Allen (R) | Chart
LEANS DEMOCRAT
MD: Open (D) | Chart
MI: Stabenow (D) | Chart
NJ: Menendez (D) | Chart
LEANS REPUBLICAN
AZ: Kyl (R) | Chart
TN: Open (R) | Chart
LIKELY DEMOCRAT
MN: Open (D) | Chart
PA: Santorum (R) | Chart
OH: DeWine (R) | Chart
RI: Chafee (R) | Chart
WA: Cantwell (D) | Chart
LIKELY LIEBERMAN
CT: Lieberman (I) | Chart
It looks bad for Republicans, and it is, but I don't trust the polls. The polls indicate a Democratic House takeover, but for me it's much closer than that. And I just don't think the Democrats will gain control of the House. They'll maybe add an extra 12 to maybe 14 seats. As for the Senate, I doubt the Democrats pick up any more than 5 extra seats. Win or lose, the next session of Congress will be one of many stalemates, given the very slim majorities.
Polls via RealClearPolitics.
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